La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258b0cdccf4a23cc2c11fe4727f760dcd54d372e518623ee73eb516a89fe4f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 8,589$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 55c | 8,007$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.31 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,553$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 1,253$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 1,144$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 46c | 1,128$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.76 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 33c | 845.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 69c | 727.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 5c | 580$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…9a99backed No | 69c | 427.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 67c | 309.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 20c | 285.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 69c | 273.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 263.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 221.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…2bc2backed No | 69c | 172.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 162.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 14c | 140.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 8c | 137.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…d792backed Yes | 36c | 136.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…2b36backed No | 69c | 133.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521d…713bbacked No | 69c | 131.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…230abacked No | 69c | 131.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed No | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…05f6backed No | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…e948backed No | 69c | 113.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 107.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 58c | 92.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No | 69c | 81.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 77.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 64.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 67c | 54.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 68c | 52.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 45.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 47c | 42.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 34.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…d729backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked No | 35c | 28.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…fdffbacked Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…0b1fbacked No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.