Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d8a8a3f7f0b50e4cf11127ff7b2c28cbba1b45b0a1bafcf06d432c91822295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 4,292$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.65 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,313$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 15c | 1,111$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 875.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 681$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 471.22$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 14c | 430$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 331.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 17c | 222.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 209.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 205.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 78c | 136$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 113.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 89.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 14c | 86.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 65.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.