TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c35,470$12,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,260.213933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c22,782$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,896.3947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c13,206$8,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,163.1998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c7,670$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.0633444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No15c6,277$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.1430536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c5,226$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.1322652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c4,268$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.79277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No64c3,535$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c2,872$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.7528659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes34c2,357$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.962250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes78c2,277$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.219431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c1,554$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.7543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes55c1,528$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.445651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No65c1,212$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,138$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3722852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c999.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked No9c966.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes35c939.47$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c927.75$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Yes34c882.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+69.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No30c853.7$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.183234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c689.33$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes33c547.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3677549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No21c527.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c521$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.355945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c477.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No19c449.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.83944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255c…7efebacked Yes58c414.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No13c411.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.131421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256c…c8a4backed No67c325.18$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No66c323.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid+37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No66c320$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes34c296.41$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.631844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.252544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c247.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9916858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c240$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.25257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes63c235$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No67c216$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No26c205.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.034242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No8c193.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes35c191.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.736946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes35c191.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No19c190.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Yes56c178.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes37c176$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae4…d0d0backed No14c174.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2367…c5b3backed Yes38c173.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No65c171$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.614946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No67c160$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No28c155$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9475…a29ebacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5df…c7debacked Yes35c144.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed No10c129.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes36c116.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes32c114.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.383339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c107.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7919345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-72.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c90.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.817631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No68c84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.126460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No66c84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.443174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.121770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No66c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No66c78.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.084946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes53c74.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.554852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked No23c74.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No15c73.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No67c68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.564459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No66c66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.566253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No66c66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.565156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No66c66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes32c65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No66c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.32751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.829446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes34c57.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7202…e9b1backed Yes35c56.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes68c54.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No57c49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.741040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No66c48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No66c48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No66c44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.044656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.