Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea974dd23b24265ae6b20c2946a08ee2070ce58813770a8248a483256a42e432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 1c | 2,727$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,269$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 4c | 1,229$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 902$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 41c | 834$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 687.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 500.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 467.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 445.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 43c | 444.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 57c | 365.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 27c | 360$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 237.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 221.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b5…ccdbbacked Yes | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…7f47backed No | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…bec8backed Yes | 5c | 201.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…c1f3backed Yes | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…49a7backed No | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 58c | 173.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 56c | 84.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 83.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 72.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…dc64backed Yes | 44c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.