Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047d6a59bec0575a86f807cd8b568c64c7fbaf0c51a06e9ceb74bddf53520fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 603.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 52c | 404.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 390.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 355.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 54c | 277$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 46c | 202.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 183.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 53c | 183$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Over | 70c | 142.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 51c | 115.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 46c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…23cabacked Over | 47c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…5e14backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Over | 62c | 57.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 47c | 55.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 46c | 47.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 44c | 41.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…4d54backed Under | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 43c | 39.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 53c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 65c | 22.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 68c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.