World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb881a26b520fd7e3c0a33a6bd003074c991c65d6ed808be364db2a95d887426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,039$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 62c | 810.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 513.41$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 18c | 478.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 72c | 371.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 251.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 234.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 232.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 71c | 215.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 15c | 209.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 38c | 209$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 75c | 208.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 197$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 16c | 196.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 27c | 185.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 75c | 183.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 7c | 178.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 175.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 10c | 159.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 73c | 155.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 15c | 153.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 74c | 142.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…aedfbacked Yes | 40c | 136.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked No | 71c | 136.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 133.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 127.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…989ebacked Yes | 30c | 122.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 122.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 26c | 120.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 111.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 108.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 35c | 100.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 100.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 100.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…1b8abacked Yes | 26c | 97.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 83.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 75.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 74c | 72.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…a400backed No | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…21fdbacked No | 80c | 62.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 80c | 62.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 61.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 26c | 58.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 55.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 38c | 55.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 72c | 51.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 50.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…878ebacked Yes | 28c | 46.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 43.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 33c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 31c | 39.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed No | 71c | 38.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e79ebacked No | 67c | 37.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 30.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 34c | 30.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 62c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 26.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 72c | 25.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 71c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 73c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 64c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 64c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 68c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.