Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3133fe5296fb977de963c57cb84071ca64832412f83ad59fe933a3763d0ae89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 60c | 2,998$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,126$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.52 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 39c | 916.36$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 32c | 881.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 40c | 855.83$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 801$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 770.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 728.84$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.76 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 61c | 676.99$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.97 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 517$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…7d0cbacked Yes | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 258.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 17c | 243.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 197$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 192$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…0464backed Yes | 38c | 130.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 124$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 59.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593b…d19bbacked Yes | 38c | 45.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Malmö FF vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?No won
- Will Malmö FF win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.