Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4122c1f1bcb319d2cf494eb45c4b466c2bb675dcf4ce44715a516dfa95c66bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 72c | 7,100$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 5,549$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 5,392$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.23 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,895$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.05 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,080$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,905$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 23c | 1,250$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,051$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.47 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 944.64$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed No | 73c | 900$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 866.37$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 752.28$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 750$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 750$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 750$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 516.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 432$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Yes | 29c | 312.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 29c | 286.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes | 30c | 274.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 193.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 169.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 144.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…adbebacked Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 125.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…33fbbacked No | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…96f2backed Yes | 29c | 115.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 15c | 107.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes | 24c | 99.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 78.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 75.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked No | 70c | 63.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…6a26backed No | 70c | 57.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 70c | 54.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…d2ecbacked No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 28c | 51.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…b9bfbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 71c | 31.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…3702backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…eb87backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…a789backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 73c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 72c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…5eb2backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…3ba5backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b40…8be4backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.