Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a80e7efd18ad298fccc2cd1eef45191a7b53b2c4c0cc0b257efe12407d0cce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 3,994$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked No | 12c | 3,238$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 2,929$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.55 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed No | 18c | 2,750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 2,289$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 1,798$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 28c | 1,497$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 77c | 1,253$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,058$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.27 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 999.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 80c | 938.49$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 873.41$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…afa8backed No | 12c | 736.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 704.64$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 42c | 537.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 499.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 418.91$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 393$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 334.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Yes | 26c | 311.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 28c | 258.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 222$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 69c | 125.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…c593backed No | 14c | 88.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 65.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc62…0ebebacked No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 59.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 53.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 41c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 79c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.