Fifa International · resolved market
Will Azerbaijan vs. Iceland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83faaf96641064af302c5685019819328940548f09a1756bbd1c18676a94a2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 7,663$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 23c | 3,268$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,047$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…d9ebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…83e3backed No | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,002$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…6212backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…7954backed Yes | 15c | 900.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6ad6backed No | 78c | 899.71$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 25c | 868.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 699.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…b93ebacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7b38backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3235…5a6bbacked Yes | 22c | 500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 443.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 25c | 419.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 419.72$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 22c | 293.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 23c | 195$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 181.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 132.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 123.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 17c | 87.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 82.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 23c | 81.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 77.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 23c | 72.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 70.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…ca52backed No | 80c | 15.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 78c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Azerbaijan vs. Iceland end in a draw?this page
- Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.