Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f3424f6d794ead95dc8037e98b8ed3143b3ea79fdf1fe3f92d2bcdea8c0b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 10c | 2,993$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dc…7702backed Yes | 2c | 2,725$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 1c | 2,680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 2,165$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 1,363$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 3c | 800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 3c | 757.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 17c | 274.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 18c | 206.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 17c | 175.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 6c | 175.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 19c | 158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…a294backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…83f0backed Yes | 16c | 124.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…d7d3backed Yes | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 19c | 106.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…7582backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 12c | 96.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 18c | 84.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed Yes | 18c | 82.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…6deabacked Yes | 19c | 61.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 18c | 59.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…aef1backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 80c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.