Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd391f148e9be912abd1ce595454ec305f08ecdb1b3753d3d7fb8999a14ce0ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Partizan, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Partizan | 12c | 8,681$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…26debacked Partizan | 61c | 8,235$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 2,815$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 27c | 2,029$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 24c | 1,307$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.73 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Fenerbahce | 45c | 1,099$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 668.42$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.68 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Fenerbahce | 79c | 620.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 579.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…fdedbacked Partizan | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 315$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Partizan | 33c | 301.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Fenerbahce | 67c | 297.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Fenerbahce | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Fenerbahce | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Partizan | 60c | 196$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Fenerbahce | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 179.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Partizan | 56c | 163$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahce | 46c | 162.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Fenerbahce | 44c | 144.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Fenerbahce | 44c | 140.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Partizan | 33c | 127.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Partizan | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Fenerbahce | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Partizan | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 80.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fenerbahce | 40c | 68.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Partizan | 57c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fenerbahce | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Partizan | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Fenerbahce | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…501cbacked Fenerbahce | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Fenerbahce | 37c | 35.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Partizan | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Partizan | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Partizan | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fenerbahce | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.