Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c8bddb7bf45b9b2f030dcb2cd2e214e07a1deefe3cd79821a0b2927de19089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 6,600$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed PARIVISION | 63c | 3,763$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 27c | 2,541$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.22 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,302$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.76 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Tidebound | 7c | 1,569$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Team Tidebound | 15c | 1,500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.94 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 26c | 1,188$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 702$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 462.38$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Tidebound | 5c | 377$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 362.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 68c | 269$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Tidebound | 20c | 228.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed PARIVISION | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…a9cbbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 158.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed PARIVISION | 68c | 143.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed PARIVISION | 79c | 132.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked PARIVISION | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 68.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed PARIVISION | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed PARIVISION | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.