Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8817d51478dae7f5c5f46a5a22f50aaf42ef7bfe73cfb884a9f305ea92666c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Tidebound | 33c | 8,421$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.92 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 6,805$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.04 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 31c | 5,003$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.9 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 3,853$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.5 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 28c | 2,743$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.79 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 25c | 1,225$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,189$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Tidebound | 32c | 1,080$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 880$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 868.41$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 668.85$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Tidebound | 4c | 660$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed PARIVISION | 67c | 434.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PARIVISION | 67c | 429$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed PARIVISION | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed PARIVISION | 69c | 122.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 68.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed PARIVISION | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…2849backed Team Tidebound | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed PARIVISION | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…b914backed PARIVISION | 71c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.