Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b24b8c338d6417b7b8126340246c5fd6107a64d598678fa6ab33e48306be31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 35c | 10,079$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.82 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 3,100$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,430$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…1a64backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,935$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 22c | 1,841$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 26c | 1,599$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,463$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.1 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,403$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.24 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PARIVISION | 67c | 865$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound | 27c | 501.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Tidebound | 18c | 499.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 15c | 309.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Team Tidebound | 10c | 305.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…a9cbbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 225.61$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed PARIVISION | 67c | 210.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed PARIVISION | 78c | 170.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…6b34backed PARIVISION | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked Team Tidebound | 34c | 148.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Tidebound | 25c | 145.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed PARIVISION | 70c | 138.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Tidebound | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed PARIVISION | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…a7c6backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 82.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Team Tidebound | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…4e19backed PARIVISION | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Tidebound | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed PARIVISION | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed PARIVISION | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 67c | 43.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.