Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8795acba669e34f64112aa0a8f1a0c15c4a406c643f8b0e5aa6f4662e50586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 8,370$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 5,559$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.98 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Liquid | 58c | 5,520$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.46 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 5,303$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.68 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,565$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.39 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,522$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.85 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,408$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.28 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,057$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 2,649$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.59 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 2,527$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,328$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,999$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 1,461$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,122$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.36 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,005$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.21 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 964$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 859.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 745.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 730.23$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 656.31$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 647.83$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 56c | 642.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 574$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 536$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 421.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 55c | 418.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 407.12$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…c1c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 391.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 328.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 306.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…97d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 255$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 154.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 144.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Liquid | 61c | 125.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…35c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…3612backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…0a8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 49.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 45.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 41.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…9c6abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…8211backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.