Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebcd4d4e0ad5ca8925e9504186b848bf6ccdf20aece54b17f03106bc16e4bc56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Team Liquid, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 26c | 7,147$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 5,263$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.24 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 2,784$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,822$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.63 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,310$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.27 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,201$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.62 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…942dbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 496.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 55c | 483.07$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 399$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 351.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Team Liquid | 30c | 331.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 324.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 130.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 99.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 83.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 74.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.