Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ed454722ca4498b6d345fc082e1eb73f65b074e1baff6d776b7e4446358b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 36c | 9,525$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.08 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,799$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 3,600$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 21c | 3,600$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.01 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,988$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.26 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 65c | 1,590$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Yes | 35c | 1,588$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 20c | 720.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 32c | 556.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 34c | 529$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 4c | 324.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 34c | 294.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 33c | 277.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 66c | 256$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 34c | 106$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…337cbacked Yes | 50c | 94.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 68c | 88.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 35c | 68.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 66.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 27c | 64.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…8ff0backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 35c | 43.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 33c | 31.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 36c | 30.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…ab1fbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 28.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked No | 72c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-02?Yes won
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.