Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85ac4d4ef1985ba1ee51e6a6c0130a9dda3a0aef5377f24db2d9e26b1749fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Paris Basketball, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b33…d085backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 4,043$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 3,912$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.58 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 52c | 2,106$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.69 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 1,678$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.62 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Basketball | 48c | 1,287$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.47 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 1,197$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.29 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…1ef5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 49c | 1,012$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 578.77$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…68e3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 413.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paris Basketball | 56c | 328.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Paris Basketball | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…4e64backed Paris Basketball | 20c | 168.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paris Basketball | 57c | 154.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 71c | 144.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 63c | 140.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Paris Basketball | 46c | 126.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Paris Basketball | 63c | 107.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Paris Basketball | 11c | 105.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Paris Basketball | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 99.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 92.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 53.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 47.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…13febacked Paris Basketball | 57c | 47.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 46.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…db5cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…5e7fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 43.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 42.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Paris Basketball | 62c | 24.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 52c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Paris Basketball | 56c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.