CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. paiN
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004f38274ec46ee7c7738cc8b03756a8caf8ba45a0fbba4bbc273e81dc1013ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f2…4e69backed paiN | 36c | 14,000$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,973.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed FURIA | 64c | 12,741$8,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,154.44 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed paiN | 33c | 5,069$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.45 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked FURIA | 68c | 3,469$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…bbf5backed paiN | 32c | 3,467$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked paiN | 32c | 3,140$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked paiN | 35c | 3,011$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.82 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked FURIA | 69c | 2,883$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.52 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FURIA | 79c | 2,432$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.45 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 44c | 2,275$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked paiN | 34c | 1,700$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.62 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed FURIA | 65c | 1,332$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed FURIA | 67c | 1,302$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 32c | 1,225$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.11 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA | 65c | 1,050$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.24 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed paiN | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed paiN | 33c | 940.73$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed FURIA | 67c | 862.09$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.39 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…c0adbacked paiN | 34c | 839$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked paiN | 36c | 790.32$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked FURIA | 66c | 724$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.84 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked FURIA | 67c | 664$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 43c | 493.51$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked FURIA | 69c | 484.94$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FURIA | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed FURIA | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked paiN | 34c | 420.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FURIA | 33c | 400.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed FURIA | 69c | 356.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 65c | 309$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed paiN | 14c | 300.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…9ac9backed FURIA | 67c | 296.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…8ff8backed FURIA | 68c | 292$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed paiN | 27c | 257.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked FURIA | 59c | 253.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed paiN | 15c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…1ac6backed FURIA | 69c | 198$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed paiN | 34c | 184.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed FURIA | 58c | 179.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked FURIA | 65c | 159$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked FURIA | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked FURIA | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed FURIA | 66c | 149.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf105…ab49backed paiN | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed FURIA | 69c | 143.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed FURIA | 30c | 136.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked FURIA | 69c | 132.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked FURIA | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 60c | 105.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…d305backed FURIA | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FURIA | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed FURIA | 67c | 101.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked paiN | 37c | 97.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed paiN | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…04e4backed FURIA | 66c | 74.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked FURIA | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed paiN | 33c | 69.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 65c | 67.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked FURIA | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 80c | 56.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed FURIA | 68c | 51.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed FURIA | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked FURIA | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed FURIA | 67c | 44.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked paiN | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…c51bbacked FURIA | 65c | 38.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…d4f0backed paiN | 36c | 30.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked paiN | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…5897backed FURIA | 65c | 29.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…5984backed FURIA | 66c | 27.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed FURIA | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…6da6backed FURIA | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…be64backed FURIA | 67c | 15.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.