Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Shevchenko vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed6192e3fef595ad6cb4c6978e794008b15b5ec84ec23aa48d9940e701ff940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublik of Shevchenko, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shevchenko | 19c | 32,462$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.29 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bublik | 80c | 23,880$18,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.38 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Shevchenko | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.98 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bublik | 68c | 2,514$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.65 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Shevchenko | 25c | 1,947$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Bublik | 73c | 1,064$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Bublik | 63c | 1,051$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Bublik | 72c | 1,027$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bublik | 63c | 1,013$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Bublik | 78c | 512.6$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Shevchenko | 26c | 385.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Bublik | 60c | 320.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Bublik | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Shevchenko | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Shevchenko | 19c | 270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shevchenko | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shevchenko | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bublik | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Shevchenko | 34c | 130.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Bublik | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Shevchenko | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +256.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Bublik | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Shevchenko | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bublik | 63c | 108.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Bublik | 64c | 107.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Shevchenko | 35c | 99.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Shevchenko | 34c | 78.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shevchenko | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Bublik | 63c | 67.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Bublik | 80c | 55.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shevchenko | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Bublik | 61c | 49.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Bublik | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Bublik | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Bublik | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shevchenko | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Shevchenko | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Bublik | 61c | 32.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bublik | 80c | 22.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.