CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Rivals: Falcons vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ee8066100b498cf5ecd9cf45d84bc52e57c4c9102a2e760e9bd8cb11e08f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Falcons | 60c | 8,374$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…294ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 6,023$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 4,640$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Falcons | 61c | 2,383$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.22 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,694$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.54 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,586$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.12 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Falcons | 57c | 1,469$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Falcons | 58c | 1,235$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,040$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Falcons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…dec7backed Falcons | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Falcons | 55c | 801.59$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed Falcons | 58c | 772.21$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Falcons | 55c | 628.26$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed MOUZ | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed MOUZ | 43c | 490.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Falcons | 55c | 437.9$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…55c4backed Falcons | 62c | 246.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 43c | 201$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…1eaabacked Falcons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Falcons | 60c | 167.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Falcons | 59c | 147.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Falcons | 65c | 117.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked MOUZ | 43c | 111.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Falcons | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ | 41c | 77.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 42c | 72.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Falcons | 59c | 71.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Falcons | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed MOUZ | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317c…f326backed MOUZ | 44c | 43.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3e5cbacked Falcons | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Falcons | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…51c1backed Falcons | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…3190backed Falcons | 58c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.