Champions League · resolved market
Chelsea vs. LAFC: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20da6c67603c9c82dea82f8567d61e30856af3ca83dc87a3247c85d0035535a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 60c | 8,535$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.14 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 52c | 1,418$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 39c | 1,299$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 58c | 1,138$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.39 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,017$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.88 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 55c | 979.02$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 41c | 724.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 36c | 622.79$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 52c | 621.7$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 48c | 518.12$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed No | 72c | 450$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 29c | 384.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 55c | 338$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…64e0backed Yes | 10c | 204.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 29c | 190.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 42c | 180.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 42c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 48c | 67.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 43c | 64.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7ddebacked Yes | 44c | 57.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked Yes | 20c | 55.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Yes | 40c | 50.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 52c | 42.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…2ab2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.