TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Arthur Gea vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Arthur Gea, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Adam Walton74c13,533$10,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.394,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Adam Walton53c13,160$7,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,144.0530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Arthur Gea23c10,131$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Gea8c6,129$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton69c5,835$4,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.488,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton59c5,755$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Arthur Gea48c4,169$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Gea48c3,994$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.54,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton55c3,067$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Walton64c2,957$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.768,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0e…229ebacked Arthur Gea10c2,196$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.23638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Arthur Gea58c1,733$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Gea65c1,500$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.439,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Gea34c1,021$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.423,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Arthur Gea24c827.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Adam Walton53c752.65$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.144,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Adam Walton60c695.42$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9563252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Arthur Gea23c666$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Arthur Gea18c631.84$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3328221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Arthur Gea40c618.41$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6232333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee7…18e3backed Adam Walton78c433.35$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Arthur Gea46c400.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Arthur Gea56c381.83$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.042,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Arthur Gea40c370$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4861152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Arthur Gea39c347.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Arthur Gea40c338$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.881,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Arthur Gea63c331.61$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9827148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Adam Walton48c315.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Arthur Gea65c232$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.542564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Adam Walton61c229.45$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.261,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Arthur Gea44c228.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Arthur Gea47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Gea33c186.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.014,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Adam Walton35c185$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Arthur Gea40c179.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.412,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Adam Walton57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4430653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Arthur Gea20c167.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.873,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Adam Walton59c162.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.421,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Adam Walton60c153.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1633152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Arthur Gea68c147.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Arthur Gea40c141.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.869737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Arthur Gea12c128.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.845242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Arthur Gea10c105.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5626921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Arthur Gea68c103.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Arthur Gea39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Adam Walton61c92.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Adam Walton59c84.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e69…30a0backed Adam Walton60c82.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.483043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Arthur Gea26c81.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.981,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Adam Walton62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6516467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Adam Walton57c79.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7399244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Gea18c76.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Arthur Gea40c74.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.973,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c03…3e4fbacked Adam Walton42c70.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.681861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton36c69.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.072,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…206abacked Adam Walton78c66.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.746339.7%25 W · 38 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Adam Walton56c62.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3214644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Arthur Gea38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6839851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Adam Walton45c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.395,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Adam Walton60c58.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Arthur Gea52c57.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Adam Walton50c56.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.437436.4%136 W · 238 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Arthur Gea38c55.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Adam Walton56c53.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2911365.5%74 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Adam Walton57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6330055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Adam Walton57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638444%37 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Adam Walton60c50.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Adam Walton69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.551445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Adam Walton61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Adam Walton63c47.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9460452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Adam Walton59c43.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Adam Walton66c43.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.587741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Adam Walton62c40.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3619852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Adam Walton62c38.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.333458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Adam Walton36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.271,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Adam Walton60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…53a1backed Arthur Gea29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Adam Walton44c34.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.157845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Adam Walton60c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb920…7922backed Arthur Gea48c30.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.352524%6 W · 19 L-6.6wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-61.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Adam Walton40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Adam Walton78c29.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Arthur Gea40c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5414637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Adam Walton54c28.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…a409backed Adam Walton53c28.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Adam Walton73c26.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1778957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a76…be92backed Adam Walton78c25.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Arthur Gea75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7537255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Arthur Gea59c23.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bdf…e240backed Adam Walton46c22.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Arthur Gea65c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Adam Walton57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Adam Walton73c19.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.312,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Adam Walton74c16.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.218282.9%68 W · 14 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.