Champions League · resolved market
Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccaec1d65283d0e6018ac82aad1f3a2fe6d7f227bbbf63465fbf4eaaca6a8171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 52c | 6,785$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 50c | 5,795$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.62 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 48c | 4,589$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.48 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 50c | 3,483$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.54 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…c207backed Yes | 48c | 1,451$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 73c | 1,040$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 48c | 863.69$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.57 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 49c | 850.52$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 49c | 693.17$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 45c | 669.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 54c | 435.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 55c | 402.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 49c | 294.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked No | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 15c | 96.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…ba73backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked No | 56c | 26.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7ddebacked Yes | 51c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Yes | 55c | 18.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.