TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sorana Cirsteaof Sorana Cirstea, Kimberly Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Kimberly Birrell6c21,291$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.098,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kimberly Birrell5c4,519$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.693,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Kimberly Birrell33c3,583$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.3931736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sorana Cirstea67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66053043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Kimberly Birrell23c1,271$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5922647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Kimberly Birrell33c1,109$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.852,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kimberly Birrell33c1,075$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.785429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Sorana Cirstea67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7817556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kimberly Birrell11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Kimberly Birrell3c999.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.974327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kimberly Birrell33c727.27$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24078536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Kimberly Birrell33c672.73$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22237738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kimberly Birrell33c666$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7838550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kimberly Birrell10c638.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.482,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa254…244dbacked Sorana Cirstea68c628.03$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.972860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a17…e0c3backed Kimberly Birrell18c527.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kimberly Birrell13c525.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.424,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Kimberly Birrell7c524.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.552739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Kimberly Birrell7c494.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Kimberly Birrell31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sorana Cirstea76c425.32$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.138,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kimberly Birrell25c368.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.914,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sorana Cirstea72c365$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.345,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kimberly Birrell32c313$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.167,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Kimberly Birrell33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Sorana Cirstea69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937748.1%37 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kimberly Birrell20c291.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.829,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sorana Cirstea67c288.82$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.683,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sorana Cirstea75c266.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.644,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sorana Cirstea67c264.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.167,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sorana Cirstea70c219.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8561152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Sorana Cirstea67c209.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Kimberly Birrell32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Kimberly Birrell32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Kimberly Birrell33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Kimberly Birrell37c150.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Sorana Cirstea67c134.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.363050%15 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sorana Cirstea69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sorana Cirstea73c123.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.873,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Kimberly Birrell33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612258.2%71 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Sorana Cirstea73c108.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Sorana Cirstea73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Sorana Cirstea73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2792352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Sorana Cirstea69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3135457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Sorana Cirstea73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Kimberly Birrell31c96.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Sorana Cirstea67c96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.682564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Sorana Cirstea73c84.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.871165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…c268backed Kimberly Birrell22c83.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3214.8%1 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.31per pick36cpaid-86.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Sorana Cirstea67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6316467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Sorana Cirstea67c65.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6231749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Kimberly Birrell29c62.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.124851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Kimberly Birrell34c61.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8610939.4%43 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…879abacked Kimberly Birrell33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Kimberly Birrell33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.852035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…5112backed Sorana Cirstea68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829861.2%60 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sorana Cirstea63c56.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Kimberly Birrell33c55.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kimberly Birrell23c50.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sorana Cirstea69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sorana Cirstea79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Kimberly Birrell30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514243%61 W · 81 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Kimberly Birrell31c49.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.441,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…1701backed Kimberly Birrell30c48.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4546…7354backed Sorana Cirstea69c47.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.997166.2%47 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Kimberly Birrell34c45.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.459441.5%39 W · 55 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked Kimberly Birrell31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sorana Cirstea73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa94b…b0f7backed Kimberly Birrell30c38.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.667346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Kimberly Birrell33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7830436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Sorana Cirstea70c32.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7538866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Sorana Cirstea67c32.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.730554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Sorana Cirstea69c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6144851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Sorana Cirstea70c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Sorana Cirstea67c27.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2225858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Sorana Cirstea68c27.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7830055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Sorana Cirstea79c25.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3236378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Sorana Cirstea80c25.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sorana Cirstea69c24.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.662,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sorana Cirstea68c21.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.036,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Sorana Cirstea73c21.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6510678.3%83 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Sorana Cirstea69c18.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Sorana Cirstea78c17.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9534748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Sorana Cirstea69c17.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2713559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sorana Cirstea67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.981,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sorana Cirstea67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Sorana Cirstea69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.659061.1%55 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.