MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715aafb4df498b54a7171cc2b9190a56311fd9fecfdc042f932d5e6a51a6f22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $949,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $949,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Orioles | 27c | 653,737$174,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479,375.98 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 73c | 200,000$146,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 73c | 193,154$141,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,899.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 27c | 125,675$33,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,842.32 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Yankees | 74c | 70,874$52,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,266.18 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yankees | 72c | 64,551$46,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,644.52 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 74c | 52,081$38,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,298.5 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees | 73c | 49,727$36,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,451.99 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 73c | 36,367$26,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,547.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 73c | 20,241$14,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,859.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yankees | 73c | 18,704$13,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,654 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 73c | 14,601$10,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,612.66 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 73c | 13,500$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 73c | 13,282$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 41c | 12,294$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…88febacked Yankees | 68c | 9,995$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…940abacked Orioles | 32c | 9,995$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,796.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 74c | 9,903$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 26c | 7,001$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.62 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 72c | 6,363$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.1 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 27c | 6,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 74c | 5,852$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330.16 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 58c | 5,671$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 51c | 5,391$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.21 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 27c | 5,000$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 73c | 4,091$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Yankees | 73c | 3,699$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 71c | 3,200$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 70c | 2,671$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.81 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 15c | 2,258$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.19 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 73c | 2,192$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Yankees | 73c | 2,155$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.14 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 29c | 2,037$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 70c | 2,013$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.01 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 28c | 1,908$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 26c | 1,896$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.04 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Orioles | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 2c | 1,750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 74c | 1,666$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.8 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 32c | 1,514$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.81 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 12c | 1,366$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 72c | 1,101$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.33 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 27c | 1,084$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.62 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 26c | 1,074$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.36 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 32c | 1,060$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.1 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 79c | 1,036$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yankees | 74c | 1,017$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.63 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 29c | 1,000$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Orioles | 24c | 950.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 39c | 950.68$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.91 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 73c | 900$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 48c | 883.62$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yankees | 73c | 792.19$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Orioles | 25c | 680$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yankees | 78c | 641.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Orioles | 28c | 625$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yankees | 75c | 564.88$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yankees | 71c | 536.62$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 37c | 508.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Orioles | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 32c | 499.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 73c | 462.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Yankees | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Orioles | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Yankees | 68c | 367.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yankees | 16c | 346.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yankees | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Orioles | 71c | 299.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Orioles | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Orioles | 26c | 254.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Orioles | 27c | 253.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Orioles | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Yankees | 68c | 233.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Orioles | 32c | 232.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Orioles | 24c | 216.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Orioles | 26c | 204$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yankees | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Orioles | 27c | 195.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 75c | 154.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yankees | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Orioles | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Orioles | 33c | 121$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yankees | 16c | 116.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Yankees | 70c | 116.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 24c | 112.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Orioles | 21c | 111.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Orioles | 27c | 110.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Yankees | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Orioles | 26c | 106.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.