Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC beat LA Galaxy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82deed6a6e05ef0a0e74c7f2b557229dacb0de34d2eba76d5fe6c072f9edc62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 55c | 1,576$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.5 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 1,107$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…e05bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…def0backed No | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 424$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…427abacked No | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 224.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 48c | 212$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked No | 56c | 184.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 54c | 165.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Yes | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 46c | 163$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…c66fbacked No | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed No | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 32c | 52.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…1007backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 32c | 32.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Yes | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 47c | 28.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…1dbabacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC beat LA Galaxy?this page
- Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?No won
- Will St. Louis SC vs. LA Galaxy end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.