CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: FlyQuest vs. Nemiga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a8b068bfaa2a87ce11edae479cdcf84e89616e5cb7d6ad4dd095509ef15daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof FlyQuest, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Nemiga | 48c | 5,729$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga | 41c | 3,806$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.26 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…e7eabacked FlyQuest | 59c | 2,861$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked FlyQuest | 58c | 2,802$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.11 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Nemiga | 45c | 2,391$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.76 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked FlyQuest | 55c | 2,151$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 1,965$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.9 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nemiga | 42c | 1,943$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed FlyQuest | 49c | 1,795$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nemiga | 45c | 1,400$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked FlyQuest | 58c | 1,290$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.01 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 1,286$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Nemiga | 54c | 1,115$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 1,055$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…1f1dbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 916.93$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FlyQuest | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Nemiga | 60c | 794$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FlyQuest | 56c | 738.67$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.04 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nemiga | 58c | 582.68$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.48 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed FlyQuest | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Nemiga | 44c | 485.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Nemiga | 44c | 358.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FlyQuest | 69c | 284$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked FlyQuest | 58c | 272.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FlyQuest | 59c | 252.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Nemiga | 31c | 220$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Nemiga | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked FlyQuest | 61c | 180.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Nemiga | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nemiga | 43c | 143.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed FlyQuest | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 106.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Nemiga | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 56c | 96.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed FlyQuest | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed FlyQuest | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked FlyQuest | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Nemiga | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Nemiga | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Nemiga | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed FlyQuest | 59c | 39.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed FlyQuest | 45c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nemiga | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.