Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti beat Trinidad and Tobago?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd52ede0024f520769248d7b208b39ddc187b526ab4f54146d1477439e47736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 10,076$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,411.55 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 76c | 9,328$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.41 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 71c | 7,306$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.84 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 29c | 2,015$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.8 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…9b5cbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…96ecbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…3060backed No | 38c | 995$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…b558backed No | 42c | 975$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e3…262bbacked Yes | 62c | 905$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…9cf3backed Yes | 62c | 795$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…3c62backed No | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310c…cf0abacked Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…208abacked Yes | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…d146backed Yes | 58c | 510$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…85b4backed Yes | 58c | 505$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…40a7backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…09fabacked Yes | 58c | 455$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…fe4ebacked Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 78c | 322.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 28c | 188.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…5c6dbacked Yes | 58c | 185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…0b22backed Yes | 58c | 185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…b1d1backed Yes | 62c | 145$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 79c | 127.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…e6efbacked Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed Yes | 74c | 81.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 48c | 81.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 50c | 79.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…b82dbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked No | 58c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Yes | 80c | 20.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…ebb6backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…0779backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e1…0492backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Yes | 76c | 14.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti beat Trinidad and Tobago?this page
- Will Trinidad and Tobago beat Haiti?No won
- Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.