WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf162b2977bce95be47a239bb178b8d4df29cca8b91855dfcacc1bc490f1ebd0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Valkyries, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 60c | 24,730$14,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.12 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 42c | 16,990$7,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,116.73 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Valkyries | 41c | 6,068$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 38c | 5,875$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.64 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Valkyries | 41c | 5,700$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.19 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 59c | 3,531$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.6 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wings | 61c | 2,581$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 40c | 2,556$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.85 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 60c | 2,421$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.99 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valkyries | 39c | 2,147$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.09 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Valkyries | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Wings | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.38 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 39c | 656.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Valkyries | 39c | 514$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wings | 59c | 430.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 39c | 413.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Valkyries | 40c | 341$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Wings | 58c | 294.11$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Valkyries | 41c | 267.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Valkyries | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Wings | 62c | 195.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Wings | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Valkyries | 39c | 139.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 41c | 129.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 41c | 121.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Valkyries | 14c | 106.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Valkyries | 37c | 92.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Valkyries | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Valkyries | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Valkyries | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Wings | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Valkyries | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Valkyries | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Valkyries | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Valkyries | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Wings | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Wings | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Wings | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Wings | 63c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.