Fifa International · resolved market
Will Suriname beat Dominican Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e55504e6883f25967181170cd4f194d39c01a6159401c029331a210accca213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 59c | 1,947$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 61c | 983.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 650$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 42c | 473.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 375.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 39c | 312.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 36c | 310.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 44c | 279.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 60c | 253.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Yes | 44c | 224.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 222.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…1f02backed Yes | 44c | 221.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 158$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 42c | 76.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 56c | 51.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 38c | 32.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Yes | 44c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 61c | 27.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…e6fcbacked No | 60c | 20.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…a3a0backed No | 61c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…8c70backed No | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0426…c405backed No | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Suriname beat Dominican Republic?this page
- Will Dominican Republic beat Suriname?No won
- Will Dominican Republic vs. Suriname end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.