MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03df164d3015933764ccde82fa455a2c28741be7750a93c752c00f993c7b7fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 47c | 30,392$14,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,244.48 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 52c | 16,344$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.85 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 53c | 13,669$7,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 50c | 12,047$6,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 53c | 8,901$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 51c | 7,328$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.72 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Angels | 50c | 5,607$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 51c | 4,481$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.25 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 50c | 4,140$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 49c | 3,897$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 45c | 3,451$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 50c | 3,125$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Angels | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.99 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 42c | 2,787$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.49 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 51c | 2,540$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 52c | 1,888$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.24 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 52c | 1,777$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.69 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 51c | 1,275$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels | 40c | 1,237$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels | 60c | 1,118$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.35 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Astros | 54c | 1,087$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 38c | 1,076$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.49 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 49c | 992.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Astros | 30c | 796.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.31 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 51c | 771.81$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Angels | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Angels | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Angels | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Angels | 10c | 476.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Angels | 7c | 441.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Angels | 15c | 422.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 39c | 419.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Astros | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Angels | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 52c | 287.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 44c | 276.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…b540backed Angels | 11c | 233.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Angels | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Angels | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 46c | 199.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 36c | 188$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 54c | 185.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Astros | 53c | 169$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Angels | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 28c | 149.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Angels | 47c | 127.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Angels | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 41c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Angels | 20c | 84.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Astros | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Angels | 15c | 77.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Astros | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Angels | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Astros | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b009backed Angels | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Astros | 54c | 50.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…64d4backed Astros | 56c | 47.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Astros | 53c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 52c | 44.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…9de7backed Astros | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Astros | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…fee1backed Angels | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Astros | 53c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Astros | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Astros | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Astros | 80c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Angels | 78c | 25.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Astros | 53c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Astros | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Astros | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Astros | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Astros | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Astros | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Astros | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.