Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships: Shelton vs. Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd10365c8e6beb644775db319102c954edac550da732217a1f9868810ea0fd52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Shelton, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Shelton | 68c | 17,576$12,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tien | 28c | 17,205$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,333.22 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tien | 39c | 17,056$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,385.31 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Shelton | 64c | 16,153$10,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,384.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Tien | 45c | 5,594$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Shelton | 78c | 2,217$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tien | 22c | 1,965$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.7 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton | 69c | 1,337$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.62 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Shelton | 44c | 1,300$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tien | 21c | 1,069$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.13 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shelton | 75c | 1,055$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.8 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Tien | 77c | 1,013$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tien | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Tien | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Tien | 22c | 789.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tien | 42c | 528$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.34 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tien | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Tien | 28c | 483.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…5f67backed Shelton | 79c | 441$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Shelton | 71c | 438.92$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Tien | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tien | 51c | 388.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Tien | 41c | 280$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tien | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Shelton | 49c | 226.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Shelton | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Tien | 29c | 164.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Shelton | 75c | 145.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Tien | 48c | 144.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 64c | 108.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Tien | 47c | 104.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Tien | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Tien | 25c | 76.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shelton | 77c | 75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Tien | 33c | 63.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Tien | 36c | 55.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Tien | 24c | 51.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Tien | 34c | 49.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Shelton | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Tien | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Shelton | 78c | 38.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Tien | 54c | 34.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…0e28backed Shelton | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Shelton | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Tien | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tien | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.