TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies29c18,740$5,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,473.891,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Diamondbacks76c13,210$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.184461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks77c12,997$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.4928646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies23c11,191$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.9119650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rockies36c10,207$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.4912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…f0aebacked Diamondbacks65c9,997$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…85f8backed Rockies35c9,997$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies35c8,267$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.681,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies31c5,224$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.5797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies18c4,106$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.332,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies37c3,918$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.5554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Diamondbacks68c3,762$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.2915745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22549250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Diamondbacks60c3,489$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.027455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies29c3,311$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7425550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks66c3,038$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.4432852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies35c2,830$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.312,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies32c2,742$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.1468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks60c2,504$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies35c2,471$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.5986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Diamondbacks75c2,447$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.413464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Diamondbacks64c2,100$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0117351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies36c2,030$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks64c1,994$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.011,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks68c1,925$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.168769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks65c1,912$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks66c1,777$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies36c1,501$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5922312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks60c1,434$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4414753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies35c1,428$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks52c1,421$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.151,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies35c1,369$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1921740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks64c1,028$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Rockies35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.993743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks64c958$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.881,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies33c887.05$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.619,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Diamondbacks66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5811145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30045248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Diamondbacks51c725.1$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.053360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Diamondbacks58c688.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5713450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Rockies51c685.27$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.495839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Diamondbacks59c681.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1819348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies33c645.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6032…f272backed Diamondbacks76c615.41$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.412065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Diamondbacks71c589.29$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.294850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks66c558.49$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Diamondbacks66c545.42$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7813250.8%67 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Diamondbacks74c542.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.552157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies23c527.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.821,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rockies34c499.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9814050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Diamondbacks65c484.12$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.443650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Diamondbacks78c480$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.616551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Diamondbacks65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.547951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe7…580dbacked Diamondbacks65c419.12$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.691752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockies32c408$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Diamondbacks55c394.2$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3918748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…c5fbbacked Diamondbacks60c389.93$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.979756.7%55 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…4bcabacked Diamondbacks60c385.88$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked Rockies39c354.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rockies36c346.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.48530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies23c340.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.251,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies14c312.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4931145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies34c311.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0744443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Diamondbacks65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Diamondbacks65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6920150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks65c307.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.242,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0338455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies36c295$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies35c285.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies35c278$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks64c274.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.975,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf082…ae27backed Rockies34c270.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks59c269.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9295…04f3backed Rockies34c258.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.773348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks64c249.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…1f02backed Rockies40c247.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e7d…7158backed Diamondbacks67c234.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.013740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rockies44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies35c209$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.746,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Rockies45c207.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Diamondbacks61c205$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.554030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rockies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks56c199.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…f308backed Rockies35c194.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rockies32c194.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1120448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Diamondbacks65c192.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.317042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Diamondbacks58c191.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6834264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a90…cdf5backed Rockies35c185.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies38c177.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Diamondbacks63c175.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3613447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.