Middle East · resolved market
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6335610953da83c61ab6d5967c336e8c91b54ec0f8cffd6b17caa122b8494552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 4c | 27,470$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,237$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…209ebacked Yes | 5c | 9,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Yes | 6c | 7,277$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 6,058$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,999$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,915$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 3,618$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 8c | 3,535$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes | 7c | 3,453$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,344$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 3,127$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 3,108$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,072$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,730$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 11c | 2,206$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,922$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb83c…92bfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,813$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…96a0backed Yes | 15c | 1,781$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 11c | 1,686$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…0000backed Yes | 5c | 1,485$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 13c | 1,442$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 7c | 1,378$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…a15bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 4c | 1,031$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…e9fbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,019$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…e69fbacked Yes | 2c | 999.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 13c | 999.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed Yes | 5c | 968.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 898.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…6d42backed Yes | 11c | 876.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…5d40backed Yes | 8c | 813.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 802.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 6c | 751.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…c7e9backed Yes | 9c | 719.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…8e21backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 702.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…c285backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 10c | 523.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 10c | 511.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yes | 13c | 472.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 452.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…8371backed Yes | 7c | 421.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…01f8backed Yes | 4c | 405.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…5976backed Yes | 13c | 399.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…68f1backed Yes | 13c | 396.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 9c | 380$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7397backed Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…13fdbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 10c | 345$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 10c | 325.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…0b91backed Yes | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae6…2d92backed Yes | 10c | 309.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…964dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 9c | 299.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a99…e9efbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 9c | 285$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…ba74backed Yes | 7c | 272.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes | 13c | 267.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 6c | 244.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…ec57backed Yes | 4c | 240.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…309cbacked Yes | 13c | 236.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…dd1ebacked Yes | 11c | 232.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c14…4b80backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 9c | 219.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…8b51backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…9eb2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 8c | 186.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…5c18backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…f74cbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…0978backed Yes | 8c | 164.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0e…e54dbacked Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…c39fbacked Yes | 14c | 153.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 8c | 141.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…7d87backed Yes | 11c | 138.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…0becbacked Yes | 9c | 132.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 12c | 129.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…4a1ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…49cdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…b5c0backed Yes | 9c | 115.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…bc5bbacked Yes | 14c | 101.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…8f05backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5201backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e2b3backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked No | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.