WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f220b32c6198a67a79e6c1fdc11ad1435d508afd8676d0309adda34ac781c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa444…ef4dbacked Storm | 41c | 35,137$14,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,406.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…f22cbacked Aces | 59c | 31,550$18,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,935.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Storm | 39c | 4,254$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.39 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…c17dbacked Aces | 59c | 3,587$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 26c | 3,402$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.48 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Aces | 69c | 3,080$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 69c | 2,129$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.95 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Aces | 68c | 1,377$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Aces | 58c | 684.77$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Aces | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 6c | 405.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Storm | 15c | 334.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 12c | 160.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Storm | 43c | 149.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Aces | 57c | 149.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Aces | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Storm | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Aces | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Aces | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Storm | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 58c | 47.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Storm | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Storm | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Aces | 59c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.