Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Miami vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f33d1720f5988aae2065047a8575d8097c1cf6a7dd1b695a81331c63aa22b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 25c | 4,180$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.39 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 12c | 3,147$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 76c | 1,760$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.39 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 80c | 1,439$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 1,318$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.17 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,208$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 74c | 1,154$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…279ebacked Yes | 54c | 895.41$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 65c | 841.82$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 22c | 677.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 20c | 495.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 26c | 305.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 24c | 189.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 26c | 114.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 26c | 109.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…b04dbacked Yes | 23c | 64.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Yes | 18c | 55.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 27c | 36.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…537cbacked No | 78c | 18.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?No won
- Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.