TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Red Sox, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1878…6f4abacked Giants43c22,179$9,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,620.043145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox57c13,454$7,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,671.241,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd8…a8e2backed Giants60c9,997$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…4f2fbacked Red Sox40c9,997$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox54c6,261$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.6497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants52c6,005$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.599,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants60c4,587$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Red Sox49c3,077$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox40c3,039$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.691,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…c6bdbacked Red Sox70c2,920$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants61c2,250$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox39c2,075$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.4830928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox39c2,050$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.51,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox40c2,033$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.0137446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Red Sox40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants55c1,977$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.761,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox2c1,750$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants52c1,715$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.6586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Giants60c1,555$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62231346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox34c1,250$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3926847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox46c1,085$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Red Sox38c1,058$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Giants55c863.43$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0438741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Giants75c850.42$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3283,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox39c758.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.775,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Giants60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Giants48c606.01$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Red Sox39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox40c588.33$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.331,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants61c562.58$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Sox5c558.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.428762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox39c553.48$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8615745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants61c550$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Red Sox40c500.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Giants60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants72c418.73$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.662,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Giants30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Giants48c379.67$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1734051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Giants61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox39c325.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.771,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Giants56c324.15$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.118139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c7…2c25backed Red Sox34c296.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcaa…c284backed Red Sox53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…afd0backed Red Sox53c265.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Sox40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Red Sox14c208.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0119…c14abacked Red Sox5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Giants59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants61c164.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0431356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox40c145.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox40c123.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.331,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Giants41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.956150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Red Sox41c121.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9923444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Giants62c111.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.472245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants60c103$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01cc…f88fbacked Giants60c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox41c91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.311,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Giants58c83.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox46c83.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.594,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…9ff7backed Red Sox41c79.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Red Sox35c78.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4325952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19c…3e81backed Giants40c75.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.523043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Red Sox39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Giants60c74.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox57c71.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Red Sox28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd21c…f86dbacked Red Sox66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e3…96d1backed Red Sox41c59.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…793ebacked Red Sox42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…b009backed Red Sox42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…1b7cbacked Giants60c58.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Giants62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Giants53c53.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox41c49.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.216,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Red Sox30c49.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x916b…8d15backed Red Sox41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Red Sox33c48.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1213145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Giants57c46.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1142955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Giants60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3355152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…9de7backed Giants60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Giants65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Red Sox40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d75…41dcbacked Red Sox41c28.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526555.4%36 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Giants64c27.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91e…d7d4backed Red Sox41c25.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Giants61c22.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9425452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants56c22.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…c255backed Giants60c21.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.