CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9283371a1140bbadeffcab9d241f8369e559dddb925d20726d32d6386bf8f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Virtus.pro, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 8,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 3,206$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 2,900$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 2,878$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,800$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…1808backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 1,256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…c871backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 994.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 887$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 789.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 468.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Vitality | 80c | 83.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.