Cricket · resolved market
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd3bd83ba417c6629eaf0bce931a215b0decbae95a18be5a41ab8133fd66c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Hyderabadof Kolkata Knight Riders, Sunrisers Hyderabad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 465$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 53c | 374.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 267.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 47c | 217.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f01…f12abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…76b0backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 216$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…d579backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…e967backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…1659backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 48c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 42.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…6159backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…a2b2backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 26.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.