MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5619e060f198c2175f2837d0a3fa4d7793e293482e560d7046fcf1e8c40c6aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Rockies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 48c | 37,074$17,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,142.89 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…8dcabacked Rockies | 53c | 35,344$18,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,731.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Nationals | 59c | 8,155$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.57 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 60c | 5,698$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.33 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 40c | 5,448$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 55c | 4,156$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 36c | 3,564$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 69c | 3,260$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.12 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Rockies | 46c | 3,098$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Rockies | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Rockies | 51c | 2,981$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.81 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nationals | 60c | 2,892$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.62 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 44c | 2,277$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockies | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 40c | 1,906$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.4 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies | 43c | 1,780$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.18 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 41c | 1,760$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 40c | 1,577$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 24c | 1,570$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 48c | 1,476$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 38c | 1,300$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 37c | 1,281$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies | 40c | 1,218$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rockies | 53c | 1,218$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.38 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Rockies | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 57c | 998$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rockies | 35c | 971.78$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 58c | 965.52$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.52 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Nationals | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 42c | 769.54$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockies | 7c | 750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Nationals | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 37c | 675.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Nationals | 63c | 638.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockies | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 40c | 449.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 67c | 405.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Nationals | 59c | 395$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rockies | 57c | 382.58$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Nationals | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 39c | 347.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies | 36c | 319.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 66c | 304.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nationals | 66c | 300.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 40c | 248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 43c | 248$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 41c | 243.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…e3dabacked Nationals | 60c | 207$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Rockies | 38c | 180.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…853cbacked Nationals | 60c | 176$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Rockies | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Rockies | 41c | 172.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…b05cbacked Rockies | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies | 44c | 158.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 57c | 152.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Rockies | 47c | 128.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…2f0bbacked Rockies | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rockies | 40c | 123.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rockies | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Nationals | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Nationals | 57c | 117.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Rockies | 27c | 109.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nationals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Nationals | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Rockies | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…35b8backed Rockies | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Rockies | 27c | 95.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rockies | 36c | 95.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rockies | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Rockies | 40c | 86.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…888fbacked Nationals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rockies | 40c | 79.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Nationals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Rockies | 40c | 74.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…82a8backed Rockies | 36c | 71.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Nationals | 61c | 65.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rockies | 37c | 61.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…bac0backed Rockies | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Nationals | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rockies | 40c | 55.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rockies | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Nationals | 67c | 52.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…933dbacked Nationals | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 56c | 48.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rockies | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…27debacked Rockies | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.