MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fb7573163dadbf3daf6b0702e76510435a947b5d612738d769f606862969fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mets | 48c | 122,595$58,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,421.68 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 52c | 49,830$25,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,160.57 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Phillies | 52c | 44,444$23,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,333.12 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Mets | 0c | 20,042$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 49c | 8,768$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 49c | 6,066$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 52c | 5,462$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 5,432$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 56c | 5,301$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 52c | 4,966$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.68 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 52c | 4,640$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.01 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 49c | 3,672$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Phillies | 51c | 3,621$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.24 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mets | 1c | 2,750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mets | 34c | 2,459$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mets | 27c | 2,395$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 50c | 1,812$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 49c | 1,776$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.88 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 34c | 1,535$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 47c | 1,520$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 46c | 1,262$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.52 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 53c | 1,224$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.08 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 3c | 1,125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 2c | 1,090$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mets | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mets | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mets | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 47c | 725$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mets | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mets | 13c | 662.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Phillies | 58c | 652.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Phillies | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 53c | 565.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 26c | 561.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 76c | 528$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 23c | 483.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Phillies | 54c | 461.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Mets | 49c | 430.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…b540backed Mets | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Mets | 13c | 350.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 54c | 338.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Mets | 47c | 319.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Mets | 40c | 307$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Phillies | 53c | 287.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 33c | 283.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 48c | 282.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Mets | 48c | 266.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 37c | 266.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mets | 47c | 257.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Phillies | 52c | 246.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mets | 47c | 241.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Mets | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mets | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mets | 49c | 184.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Mets | 48c | 177.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Phillies | 53c | 162.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mets | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Mets | 42c | 155.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Phillies | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Mets | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 53c | 134$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…44ecbacked Mets | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 36c | 129.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…6f76backed Phillies | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd1…8a05backed Mets | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…6df8backed Phillies | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…9267backed Phillies | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Phillies | 52c | 105.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mets | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 52c | 101.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…f52dbacked Mets | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 52c | 93.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…9c7abacked Mets | 45c | 66.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…acbfbacked Mets | 48c | 65.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Phillies | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e57backed Phillies | 53c | 53.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.