TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Padres43c175,332$75,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,179.4216643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers65c123,211$79,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,686.235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers50c18,127$9,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,026.5186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers56c17,100$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5101,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers56c15,324$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,742.5541850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers55c11,629$6,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,232.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Padres43c11,111$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.5714648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Padres60c9,918$5,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,923.524153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Dodgers64c7,863$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.233850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Padres23c6,366$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4d…a750backed Padres42c5,857$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers56c5,467$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.482,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers54c4,651$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.671,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers59c4,486$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.8298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c0…1356backed Dodgers58c4,282$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers56c4,268$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.5715353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Padres56c4,077$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.998641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd995…d3f0backed Padres42c3,933$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc0…1b66backed Padres23c3,818$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.152231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Dodgers56c3,777$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.884452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Dodgers56c3,777$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.8832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers58c3,768$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.5926847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a377backed Dodgers58c3,120$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers51c3,045$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.0825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd600…441cbacked Dodgers58c3,027$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers58c2,940$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.5843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Padres42c2,666$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.8439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Padres45c2,431$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers56c2,403$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.271,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dodgers59c2,200$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Dodgers58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres1c1,928$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3346631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers55c1,903$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.2760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Dodgers56c1,894$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Padres58c1,716$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Padres35c1,694$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres18c1,663$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres53c1,507$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.8468769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Padres43c1,502$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.694339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Padres14c1,447$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers58c1,321$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Padres18c1,310$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9910719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Padres41c1,217$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4414444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers55c1,025$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.235,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Padres16c1,005$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Dodgers69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Padres41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Dodgers55c999.95$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Padres42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3994438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres44c949.98$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers55c909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Dodgers47c901.64$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers55c863$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Padres48c833.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Padres12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers55c782.47$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.341,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x609d…4102backed Padres42c638.1$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers41c614.47$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6220523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Padres45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Dodgers56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Padres53c568.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Padres18c565$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Dodgers60c562.37$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.468543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3238455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Dodgers45c508.68$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.681,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Dodgers56c489.94$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.232646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Padres24c475.14$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Dodgers38c399.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Padres31c399.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Dodgers56c399.96$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.985653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers62c394$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Padres21c370.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Padres39c369.43$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6426651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres51c336.62$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17239436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Dodgers58c325.75$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8114150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres18c300$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Dodgers57c299.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Padres7c297.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Padres17c270.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4425835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Padres7c242.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Padres55c231.41$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12719849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Padres44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.219849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Padres45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Padres35c213$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8212249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Dodgers51c208.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.120343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Padres44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8451151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb049…cc61backed Padres13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-80.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Dodgers43c199.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1131241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres59c199.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Padres41c199.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres45c198.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8938743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers42c192.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2247348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.