TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Yankees, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox68c10,946$7,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.8186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees40c4,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Yankees39c2,851$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1199920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Red Sox60c2,565$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.562650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox71c2,258$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox57c2,231$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.3376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees47c2,101$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.1717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox58c2,076$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.349,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9637446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yankees43c1,987$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.8819852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox55c1,932$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.0211153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Red Sox56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8367248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Yankees41c1,825$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.751,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Yankees43c1,589$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.2727953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Red Sox71c1,358$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9719650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox61c1,294$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.941,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed Yankees34c1,179$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.042751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yankees43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.021,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yankees44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees38c1,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yankees43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees29c987.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yankees31c923.46$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6717744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yankees34c844.3$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9715256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox57c823.02$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.791,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Yankees44c805.78$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.545145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Yankees30c759.56$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees42c709.84$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2168656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees20c694.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yankees44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox56c644.19$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.665,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Red Sox55c599.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yankees41c585.56$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0831248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Yankees44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Red Sox60c558$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5319849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Red Sox79c507.33$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf03…37d0backed Yankees44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees27c476$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.461,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox60c467.85$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yankees24c465$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Yankees45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Red Sox57c435.1$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0910550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yankees44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yankees25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yankees25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox55c397.67$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.281,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8b…754fbacked Yankees17c390.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.42180%0 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees29c345.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yankees44c323.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.256046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Yankees25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Red Sox56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…55a0backed Yankees43c294.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.732623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox71c276.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees44c276.42$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.632,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb049…cc61backed Yankees44c260$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-80.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox80c250.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.852,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yankees43c232.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees43c232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.761,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees45c216.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5251334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees43c199.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees42c195.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2332042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yankees36c191.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Red Sox77c187.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.484146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…1319backed Red Sox57c182.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.353339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Yankees44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.27135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yankees43c179.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.371,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees32c173.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.094,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4a…74ddbacked Yankees41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yankees31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Red Sox57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.897846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x119e…e353backed Yankees44c154.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.852951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Yankees21c149.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb30…8fedbacked Yankees44c143.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.143050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yankees37c138.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.118139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80fc…c14fbacked Yankees29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221a…1cadbacked Red Sox57c135.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.343148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox57c132$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed Yankees39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Red Sox60c125.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9320343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba2…7ec2backed Yankees32c120.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Yankees44c120.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Red Sox57c113.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.693243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Yankees18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Red Sox62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.712267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fa…8234backed Red Sox56c107.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05a…398bbacked Red Sox57c107.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yankees42c104.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yankees15c103.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.