CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6503e6accfd54f15b6334f1a031baa4b4f8106c4d8ddec3778ca73f289aa6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 2,039$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.11 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ShindeN | 37c | 936.38$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.82 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ShindeN | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 854$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 807.37$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed ShindeN | 41c | 593.95$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 463.39$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed ShindeN | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 408.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 366.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ShindeN | 35c | 251.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 11c | 225.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 31c | 219.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked ShindeN | 13c | 207.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 31c | 170.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ShindeN | 30c | 148.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fake do Biru | 69c | 128$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ShindeN | 20c | 110.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 38c | 108.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 40c | 106.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru | 71c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 99.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ShindeN | 11c | 95.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ShindeN | 24c | 80.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ShindeN | 36c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 24c | 68.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ShindeN | 28c | 45.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Fake do Biru | 66c | 37.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 32.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fake do Biru | 68c | 28.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fake do Biru | 57c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed ShindeN | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.