MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8243bec7d65d7e761135200d718258772610dec84f919947c21ea043ad58d188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Eaglesof Doosan Bears, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x990d…e207backed Doosan Bears | 5c | 5,032$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hanwha Eagles | 63c | 2,483$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 2,074$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.74 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Doosan Bears | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +256.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 1,048$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Doosan Bears | 14c | 945$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 943.88$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.97 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 785.91$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 676.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.76 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Doosan Bears | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Doosan Bears | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Doosan Bears | 18c | 449.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 424.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…ea30backed Doosan Bears | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…044dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 362.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 326.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Doosan Bears | 34c | 302$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 278.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hanwha Eagles | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 261$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hanwha Eagles | 58c | 240.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 220.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Doosan Bears | 26c | 217$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 210.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 161$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 159$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 149.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 138.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 107$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 96.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 93.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…401fbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 61c | 69.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…2d17backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 65.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hanwha Eagles | 65c | 58.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 52.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…8858backed Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 51.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Hanwha Eagles | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 47.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 45.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 45.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Hanwha Eagles | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…3ff1backed Hanwha Eagles | 69c | 43.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 37.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hanwha Eagles | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 31.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…88ecbacked Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1d83backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…e4c7backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…71fcbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hanwha Eagles | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…31bebacked Hanwha Eagles | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…3a35backed Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…16a2backed Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.