MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d3a35efd06e53cd231c46418be3ba5e7013a45542dc36c401e2ce7425ee655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 3,459$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 33c | 1,779$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 16c | 1,729$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked NC Dinos | 47c | 1,194$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.04 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 607.25$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked NC Dinos | 27c | 576.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 410$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked NC Dinos | 25c | 378$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 365.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked NC Dinos | 48c | 312.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Doosan Bears | 73c | 293$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 286.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 280.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Doosan Bears | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 245.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 165.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 32c | 148.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 138.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed NC Dinos | 48c | 127.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 48c | 112.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed NC Dinos | 47c | 100.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked NC Dinos | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 93.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 53c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed NC Dinos | 47c | 71.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 68.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 66.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 60.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 54.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 53.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 53.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 47c | 38.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 38.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked NC Dinos | 48c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.