MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3859b032dfbf03b48b06799d8800b24e374400d079a88ebf2fb867ab0dd1a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 51c | 20,572$10,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.28 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 49c | 19,954$9,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,777.46 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Phillies | 50c | 15,828$7,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 58c | 10,474$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Cubs | 50c | 7,892$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.75 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 41c | 7,228$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cubs | 51c | 6,041$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.11 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 49c | 4,722$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 1c | 4,598$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 49c | 3,721$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 55c | 3,546$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.18 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 0c | 3,505$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Phillies | 25c | 2,471$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 49c | 2,357$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.05 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 1c | 2,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 49c | 1,970$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 51c | 1,905$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.45 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 46c | 1,814$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.52 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Phillies | 24c | 1,240$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 67c | 1,228$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Cubs | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 49c | 999.85$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.93 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Phillies | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 49c | 954.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.04 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 3c | 924.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 50c | 849.73$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.37 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 48c | 743.88$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.29 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 18c | 693.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 55c | 679$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 35c | 650$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 51c | 583.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Phillies | 49c | 544.87$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 50c | 536.54$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 51c | 526$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Phillies | 32c | 515.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 69c | 503.39$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Phillies | 40c | 494.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 44c | 488.22$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 57c | 417.54$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Phillies | 50c | 384.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 52c | 352.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 50c | 323$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Cubs | 50c | 312.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cubs | 48c | 265$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 48c | 237.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cubs | 51c | 231.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Phillies | 11c | 202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 48c | 189.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Phillies | 37c | 179.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Phillies | 38c | 162.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs | 52c | 154.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 30c | 148.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Phillies | 45c | 148.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Phillies | 48c | 137.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…cbccbacked Phillies | 9c | 127.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cubs | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Phillies | 45c | 110.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Phillies | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Phillies | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 57c | 105.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Phillies | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Phillies | 48c | 87.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cubs | 49c | 69.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 48c | 68.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…1b62backed Phillies | 50c | 66.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Cubs | 31c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Phillies | 34c | 63.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…4c0bbacked Cubs | 51c | 62.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Phillies | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phillies | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Cubs | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cubs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Cubs | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.