MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b3657314ea99df364b05192945b312795dbab4a3350dd423f0bb5e2a9ca94f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Royals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…0d4ebacked Royals | 21c | 6,978$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 70c | 6,834$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 52c | 5,682$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 51c | 5,163$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.48 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 71c | 4,989$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 42c | 4,506$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Padres | 58c | 4,354$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.73 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 26c | 3,140$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Royals | 48c | 3,046$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.08 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Padres | 69c | 2,282$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.28 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 52c | 2,021$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.21 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Royals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.97 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 59c | 1,697$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.64 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 69c | 1,517$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.54 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 38c | 1,480$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.03 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 50c | 1,384$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 77c | 1,317$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.46 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 52c | 1,272$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Royals | 44c | 1,261$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.89 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Royals | 24c | 1,149$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Padres | 31c | 1,139$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.14 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 32c | 1,108$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.37 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Royals | 50c | 999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 68c | 954.49$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 51c | 900.12$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.06 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Royals | 50c | 860$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Padres | 50c | 860$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 50c | 788$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Padres | 72c | 755.15$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 47c | 742.88$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.15 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 40c | 735.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.62 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 35c | 695.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 25c | 504.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 50c | 496.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 34c | 446.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Padres | 67c | 417.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 21c | 344.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 56c | 304.74$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Royals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Padres | 59c | 246$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Royals | 34c | 212.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Royals | 42c | 211.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Royals | 37c | 202.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Padres | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Padres | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 49c | 197.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 50c | 197.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 43c | 175.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6b…79ebbacked Padres | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Royals | 38c | 157.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 69c | 155.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 30c | 135.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…4ad2backed Padres | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Padres | 30c | 104.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…d8bcbacked Royals | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…6b85backed Royals | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Royals | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…e941backed Royals | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Padres | 59c | 84.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Padres | 75c | 80.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Padres | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Padres | 58c | 58.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Padres | 53c | 56.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Royals | 28c | 53.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Royals | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…b540backed Royals | 36c | 49.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Padres | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Royals | 30c | 43.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 72c | 41.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Padres | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Royals | 65c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Royals | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…d7d4backed Royals | 51c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Royals | 50c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Padres | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…e68dbacked Padres | 64c | 26.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Padres | 67c | 26.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…a14bbacked Padres | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Royals | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.